-
報(bào)告預(yù)測(cè)2023年天然氣消費(fèi)量將達(dá)歷史新高
點(diǎn)擊次數(shù)：550 發(fā)表時(shí)間：2023-5-17
-
中國(guó)石化新聞網(wǎng)
中國(guó)石化新聞網(wǎng)訊 據(jù)油氣新聞網(wǎng)5月10日?qǐng)?bào)道，據(jù)最新的年度天然氣市場(chǎng)報(bào)告稱，2022年全球天然氣消費(fèi)量下降，但預(yù)計(jì)2023年將恢復(fù)增長(zhǎng)，達(dá)到歷史最高水平。
據(jù)報(bào)告稱，發(fā)電行業(yè)仍將是最大的天然氣消費(fèi)者，預(yù)計(jì)美國(guó)、中國(guó)和亞太地區(qū)的一些新興國(guó)家將在2023年推動(dòng)全球天然氣消費(fèi)的增長(zhǎng)。
該報(bào)告的第四版是由天然氣出口國(guó)論壇(GECF)委托編寫的，對(duì)天然氣市場(chǎng)進(jìn)行了深入分析，涵蓋了最近的發(fā)展，并提供了2023—2024年的前景。
GECF秘書長(zhǎng)Eng Mohamed Hamel表示，“年度天然氣市場(chǎng)報(bào)告是全面的，我希望它將成為任何對(duì)天然氣感興趣的人的必備工具”。
該報(bào)告稱，2022年油氣投資同比增長(zhǎng)7%，達(dá)到7180億美元，預(yù)計(jì)2023年將進(jìn)一步增長(zhǎng)，但迫在眉睫的不確定性可能會(huì)阻礙投資。
該報(bào)告的其他主要發(fā)現(xiàn)包括，歐洲和亞洲的現(xiàn)貨天然氣和液化天然氣價(jià)格在2022年達(dá)到創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄高位，全年波動(dòng)很大。這主要是由于歐洲的液化天然氣需求激增，以取代較低的管道天然氣進(jìn)口，導(dǎo)致液化天然氣市場(chǎng)緊張。
該報(bào)告稱，2022年能源安全問題優(yōu)先于減緩氣候變化的目標(biāo)，決策者將重點(diǎn)放在滿足人民的能源需求上。該報(bào)告還表示，CCS/CCUS和氫氣作為脫碳的潛在途徑已經(jīng)獲得了發(fā)展勢(shì)頭，宣布的產(chǎn)能顯著增加。然而，已達(dá)到FID階段的項(xiàng)目數(shù)量仍遠(yuǎn)未達(dá)到要求的規(guī)模。
該出版物出版之際，天然氣市場(chǎng)正在經(jīng)歷物理流動(dòng)、投資、貿(mào)易和市場(chǎng)功能方面的根本性轉(zhuǎn)變。
Hamel補(bǔ)充稱，天然氣行業(yè)的發(fā)展表明了全球天然氣行業(yè)擴(kuò)張的光明前景，因?yàn)樘烊粴鈱⒃谏鐣?huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展和實(shí)現(xiàn)公正和包容性的能源轉(zhuǎn)型中發(fā)揮關(guān)鍵作用。
郝芬 譯自 油氣新聞網(wǎng)
原文如下:
Gas consumption to reach all-time high in 2023
Global gas consumption declined in 2022, but is expected to resume growth in 2023 and reach an all-time high level, says the latest Annual Gas Market Report.
It said the power generation sector would remain the largest consumer of gas, with the US, China, and some emerging countries in Asia Pacific forecasted to drive the growth of global gas consumption in 2023.
The 4th edition of the report was commissioned by the Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF) and provides an in-depth analysis of natural gas markets, covering recent developments and providing prospects for 2023-2024.
According to Eng Mohamed Hamel, Secretary General of the GECF: "The Annual Gas Market Report is comprehensive and I hope it will become an essential tool for anyone interested in natural gas."
The report said oil and gas investment increased by 7 per cent y-o-y to reach $718 billion in 2022, and was expected to rise further in 2023, but looming uncertainties may deter investment.
Other key findings of the report include spot gas and LNG prices in Europe and Asia reaching record highs in 2022, with significant volatility throughout the year. This was mainly due to a tight LNG market as Europe's LNG demand surged to replace lower pipeline gas imports.
The report said energy security concerns took precedence over climate change mitigation goals in 2022, with policymakers focusing on meeting the energy needs of their people.
It also said CCS/CCUS and hydrogen have gained momentum as potential pathways for decarbonisation, with a significant increase in the announced capacity. However, the number of projects that have reached the FID stage is still far from the required scale.
The publication comes at a time when natural gas markets are undergoing fundamental transformations in terms of physical flows, investment, trade, and market functioning.
"The developments in the gas industry are an indication of the bright prospects for the expansion of the global gas industry, as natural gas is set to play a pivotal role in socio-economic development and towards just and inclusive energy transitions," added Hamel.